Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.007646 0.008590 0.009621 0.010831 0.012218 0.013761 0.015613
2025-02-02 0.006369 0.007705 0.009291 0.011325 0.013881 0.017007 0.021154
2025-02-09 0.005459 0.006926 0.008766 0.011266 0.014608 0.018972 0.025182
2025-02-16 0.004882 0.006437 0.008475 0.011379 0.015468 0.021108 0.029634
2025-02-23 0.004349 0.005918 0.008053 0.011217 0.015872 0.022603 0.033325
2025-03-02 0.004014 0.005622 0.007883 0.011359 0.016685 0.024736 0.038212
2025-03-09 0.003673 0.005274 0.007593 0.011274 0.017123 0.026320 0.042427
2025-03-16 0.003286 0.004820 0.007095 0.010808 0.016894 0.026800 0.044847
2025-03-23 0.003052 0.004571 0.006881 0.010755 0.017306 0.028347 0.049293
2025-03-30 0.002968 0.004543 0.007001 0.011244 0.018663 0.031642 0.057370
2025-04-06 0.002719 0.004231 0.006639 0.010891 0.018521 0.032268 0.060485
2025-04-13 0.002507 0.003964 0.006327 0.010590 0.018430 0.032962 0.063813
2025-04-20 0.002359 0.003796 0.006177 0.010578 0.018906 0.034852 0.070055
2025-04-27 0.002303 0.003781 0.006287 0.011048 0.020351 0.038838 0.081537
2025-05-04 0.002168 0.003617 0.006123 0.010992 0.020761 0.040787 0.088838
2025-05-11 0.002071 0.003512 0.006053 0.011102 0.021512 0.043543 0.098529
2025-05-18 0.001945 0.003345 0.005855 0.010944 0.021687 0.045067 0.105501
2025-05-25 0.001870 0.003264 0.005810 0.011082 0.022501 0.048126 0.116966
2025-06-01 0.001773 0.003135 0.005664 0.011000 0.022825 0.050096 0.125955
2025-06-08 0.001639 0.002929 0.005354 0.010547 0.022268 0.049899 0.128958
2025-06-15 0.001562 0.002826 0.005238 0.010494 0.022620 0.051968 0.138836
2025-06-22 0.001549 0.002844 0.005361 0.010970 0.024264 0.057517 0.160263
2025-06-29 0.001450 0.002689 0.005124 0.010627 0.023901 0.057822 0.165624